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Nuclear verification in South Africa: Verifying South Africa's declared nuclear inventory, and the termination of its weapons programme, was a complex task

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This article details the IAEA's verification activities in South Africa following its accession to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT) in 1991 and the subsequent 1993 disclosure of a dismantled nuclear weapons capability. Through thorough examination of operational records, facility inspections, and isotopic balance assessments across the nuclear fuel cycle, the IAEA confirmed the correctness and completeness of South Africa's declared nuclear inventory and verified the total termination and dismantlement of its weapons programme.
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ST_CODE: 394248

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Introduction and Initial Verification Activities

South Africa's accession to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT) on 10 July 1991 was promptly followed by the signing of a comprehensive safeguards agreement with the IAEA on 16 September 1991. Four days later, the IAEA General Conference adopted a resolution aimed at ensuring early implementation of the safeguards agreement and verification of the completeness of the inventory of South Africa's nuclear installations and material. In November 1991, a team of senior IAEA safeguards officials specially appointed by the Agency's Director General carried out the first inspections under the comprehensive safeguards agreement. The activities to verify the correctness of South Africa's declared inventory of nuclear material extended over several months and involved long-established measures. These included the examination of contemporary operating and accounting records, and analysis of the nature and quantity of nuclear material. South Africa's extensive nuclear fuel cycle made the task complex, requiring considerable inspection resources and extensive co-operation from South African authorities regarding the provision of access to defunct facilities and historical operating records. The task was further complicated when, on 24 March 1993, State President de Klerk announced that South Africa had developed and subsequently dismantled a "limited nuclear deterrent capability" involving the design and manufacture of seven gun-assembled devices. The news prompted the IAEA to augment its safeguards team in South Africa with, among other specialists, nuclear weapons experts. The team's assignment was extended to include assessing the status of the former nuclear weapons programme and ascertaining that all nuclear material involved in the programme had been recovered and placed under safeguards. Over the months that followed, the team thoroughly examined detailed records and verified the inventories of nuclear materials in South Africa. As a result, it was able to conclude that there were no indications to suggest that the initial inventory is incomplete or that the South African nuclear weapons programme had not been completely terminated and dismantled. This article highlights the IAEA's verification activities in South Africa and the main activities associated with its assessment of the termination of South Africa's former nuclear weapons programme.

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This article details the IAEA's verification activities in South Africa following its accession to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT) in 1991 and the subsequent 1993 disclosure of a dismantled nuclear weapons capability. Through thorough examination of operational records, ...