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Pulling Back the Curtain on China’s Military-Civil Fusion: How the PLA Mobilizes Civilian AI for Strategic Advantage

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Executive Summary

This report examines China's military-civil fusion (MCF) strategy through an empirical analysis of 2,857 AI-related procurement contract award notices published by the People's Liberation Army (PLA) between January 2023 and December 2024. The study reveals that while state-owned defense conglomerates and traditional defense universities continue to secure the highest-value contracts, an emerging class of nontraditional civilian vendors and civilian universities account for the majority of winning entities and a significant volume of procurement. These findings highlight how China is diversifying its defense industrial base with dual-use commercial technologies, presenting complex challenges for U.S. export controls, investment screening, and research security policies.
Analysis Confidence: High
ST_CODE: FUSION

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DOC-CSET-PUL

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Issue Brief Pulling Back the Curtain on China’s Military-Civil Fusion: How the PLA Mobilizes Civilian AI for Strategic Advantage Authors: Cole McFaul Sam Bresnick Daniel Chou Center for Security and Emerging Technology (CSET) September 2025

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This report examines China's military-civil fusion (MCF) strategy through an empirical analysis of 2,857 AI-related procurement contract award notices published by the People's Liberation Army (PLA) between January 2023 and December 2024. The study reveals that while state-owned defense conglomerate...