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Pulling Back the Curtain on China’s Military-Civil Fusion: How the PLA Mobilizes Civilian AI for Strategic Advantage
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Executive Summary
This report examines China's military-civil fusion (MCF) strategy through an empirical analysis of 2,857 AI-related procurement contract award notices published by the People's Liberation Army (PLA) between January 2023 and December 2024. The study reveals that while state-owned defense conglomerates and traditional defense universities continue to secure the highest-value contracts, an emerging class of nontraditional civilian vendors and civilian universities account for the majority of winning entities and a significant volume of procurement. These findings highlight how China is diversifying its defense industrial base with dual-use commercial technologies, presenting complex challenges for U.S. export controls, investment screening, and research security policies.
Analysis Confidence: High
ST_CODE: FUSION
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DOC-CSET-PUL
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Page 1 of 19
Cover Page
Issue Brief
Pulling Back the Curtain on China’s Military-Civil Fusion: How the PLA Mobilizes Civilian AI for Strategic Advantage
Authors:
Cole McFaul
Sam Bresnick
Daniel Chou
Center for Security and Emerging Technology (CSET)
September 2025
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This report examines China's military-civil fusion (MCF) strategy through an empirical analysis of 2,857 AI-related procurement contract award notices published by the People's Liberation Army (PLA) between January 2023 and December 2024. The study reveals that while state-owned defense conglomerate...