Primary Intelligence Asset

Pakistan nuclear weapons, 2023

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Executive Summary

This Nuclear Notebook report provides an assessment of Pakistan's nuclear arsenal in 2023, estimating a stockpile of approximately 170 warheads that could realistically grow to around 200 by the late 2020s. It details Pakistan's evolving nuclear posture under its 'full spectrum deterrence' doctrine, examining land-, air-, and sea-based delivery systems, fissile material production facilities, and missile garrisons. The report highlights ongoing modernization efforts, developments in tactical and long-range systems, and regional strategic dynamics with India.
Analysis Confidence: High
ST_CODE: NS2023

System Metadata

Source ID

DOC-PAKISTAN

Process Date

Public archive record

Integrity Hash

SHA256-PAKISTANNUCL...

Indexer Status

COMPLETE

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Page 1 - Citation & Article Info

Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists ISSN: (Print) (Online) Journal homepage: https://www.tandfonline.com/loi/rbul20 Pakistan nuclear weapons, 2023 Hans M. Kristensen, Matt Korda & Eliana Johns To cite this article: Hans M. Kristensen, Matt Korda & Eliana Johns (2023) Pakistan nuclear weapons, 2023, Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, 79:5, 329-345, DOI: 10.1080/00963402.2023.2245260 To link to this article: https://doi.org/10.1080/00963402.2023.2245260 Published online: 10 Sep 2023. Submit your article to this journal Article views: 601 View related articles View Crossmark data Full Terms & Conditions of access and use can be found at https://www.tandfonline.com/action/journalInformation?journalCode=rbul20

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This Nuclear Notebook report provides an assessment of Pakistan's nuclear arsenal in 2023, estimating a stockpile of approximately 170 warheads that could realistically grow to around 200 by the late 2020s. It details Pakistan's evolving nuclear posture under its 'full spectrum deterrence' doctrine,...